Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001946 0.002039 0.002135 0.002245 0.002365 0.002494 0.002645
2025-05-25 0.001785 0.001913 0.002052 0.002218 0.002411 0.002632 0.002907
2025-06-01 0.001663 0.001810 0.001977 0.002182 0.002432 0.002732 0.003131
2025-06-08 0.001607 0.001775 0.001970 0.002218 0.002534 0.002934 0.003502
2025-06-15 0.001554 0.001736 0.001952 0.002236 0.002610 0.003107 0.003861
2025-06-22 0.001490 0.001678 0.001906 0.002211 0.002626 0.003197 0.004111
2025-06-29 0.001430 0.001621 0.001856 0.002176 0.002620 0.003253 0.004315
2025-07-06 0.001385 0.001580 0.001822 0.002159 0.002637 0.003340 0.004584
2025-07-13 0.001317 0.001506 0.001743 0.002074 0.002550 0.003260 0.004547
2025-07-20 0.001284 0.001477 0.001720 0.002065 0.002571 0.003349 0.004830
2025-07-27 0.001265 0.001462 0.001716 0.002081 0.002628 0.003501 0.005269
2025-08-03 0.001236 0.001436 0.001693 0.002068 0.002642 0.003581 0.005580
2025-08-10 0.001221 0.001426 0.001694 0.002092 0.002716 0.003779 0.006228
2025-08-17 0.001196 0.001402 0.001675 0.002084 0.002737 0.003887 0.006705
2025-08-24 0.001166 0.001371 0.001644 0.002057 0.002727 0.003931 0.007039
2025-08-31 0.001158 0.001369 0.001653 0.002091 0.002821 0.004195 0.008137
2025-09-07 0.001144 0.001359 0.001651 0.002108 0.002886 0.004412 0.009258
2025-09-14 0.001120 0.001334 0.001626 0.002087 0.002881 0.004477 0.009880
2025-09-21 0.001094 0.001306 0.001595 0.002055 0.002854 0.004490 0.010308
2025-09-28 0.001075 0.001285 0.001576 0.002040 0.002858 0.004572 0.011128
2025-10-05 0.001039 0.001241 0.001519 0.001963 0.002743 0.004363 0.010404
2025-10-12 0.001023 0.001226 0.001505 0.001955 0.002755 0.004460 0.011332
2025-10-19 0.001015 0.001220 0.001505 0.001969 0.002811 0.004671 0.013179